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2011 week 17 Outlaw Line Point Spread

DoverPro NFL Outlaw Line
NFL Pointspread Predictions


 

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The DoverPro NFL Outlaw Line Provides the Pointspread Line compared to the early LVSC NFL Line and publishes Early NFL ATS picks for the week. Final Picks are posted later in the week, after the NFL injury report. 
Week 17 Note: The Outlaw Line is statistical ONLY, and, although contrary to NFL Policy, some Playoff Bound teams may "rest" their starters, affecting the winners and losers scores. Final Picks will include that probability. 
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NFL week 17 Outlaw Line Point Spread Total Points 12-28-11 Noon EDT

 NFL Week 17 Games
NFL Game w/ early Vegas Line

(Click team for Official NFL Gear Products)

CF %

Projected score

(visitor-home)

NFL Outlaw Line
Point Spread

Outlaw Line Total Points

Outlaw Line Early NFL ATS Pick

Tampa Bay at Atlanta -13

61%

14-31

Falcons -17

45

Falcons -13

Dallas +3 at NY Giants

54%

23-24

Giants -1

47

Cowboys +3

Carolina at New Orleans -9

68%

20-34

Saints -14

54

Saints -9

San Francisco -10 at St. Louis

60%

24-10

49ers -14

34

49ers -10

Indianapolis at Jacksonville -4

58%

17-24

Jaguars -7

41

Jaguars -4

Tennessee at Houston +3

79%

20-23

Texans -3

43

Texans +3

Detroit at Green Bay +3

70%

24-31

Packers -7

55

Packers +3

Washington +9 at Philadelphia

59%

21-27

Eagles -6

48

Redskins +9

Buffalo at New England  -11

68%

14-30

Patriots -16

44

Patriots -11

Chicago -1 at Minnesota

61%

24-21

Bears -3

45

Bears -1

NY Jets at Miami -1

55%

20-23

Dolphins -3

43

Dolphins -1

Baltimore -2 at Cincinnati

56%

24-21

Ravens -3

45

Ravens -2

Pittsburgh -7 at Cleveland 

60%

28-17

Steelers -11

45

Steelers -7

Kansas City at Denver -3

59%

17-24

Broncos -7

41

Broncos -3

Seattle +3 at Arizona

58%

24-21

Seahawks -3

45

Seahawks +3

San Diego +3 at Oakland

66%

23-24

Raiders -1

47

Chargers +3

How to read this table. Teams are listed with the LVSC line as of Tuesday. CF% is the Confidence factor of the Projected Score.
Outlaw Line point spread and total points are next. The final column is the Early week ATS pick.

NFL Outlaw Line: This is the line based on statistical analysis of the performance factors of the teams. The Early NFL Outlaw Line is provided each week. This DoverPro Football Outlaw Line is based on NFL power rankings for each team in a computer generated statistical matrix which generates a probability factor for over 50 game variables. The result is a projected NFL Team matchup analysis which provides a calculated score for each game and establishes the point spread and total points expected to be scored. It is a raw number, not adjusted for injuries or weather. Typically the NFL Outlaw Line is then adjusted by the sportsbooks for betting action, and the point spread is also adjusted to balance the betting load. The DoverPro NFL Outlaw Line also provides a Confidence Factor (%), an indication of how confident we are in the Calculations. For more information about this. see the NFL Point Spread page.

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